5 AM WEDNESDAY UPDATE:
Hurricane Humberto strengthen to a category 3 hurricane Tuesday evening with winds currently at 115 mph. The storm is moving away from the Carolinas, and will have no impact on our weather. A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda, and the storm is expected to strengthen a little more and pass close enough to Bermuda to bring hurricane force winds throughout the day today and into Thursday morning.
11 PM TUESDAY UPDATE:
Hurricane Humberto has strengthen to a category 3 hurricane with winds up to 115 mph. The storm is moving away from the Carolinas, and will have no impact on our weather. A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda, and the storm is expected to pass close enough to Bermuda to bring hurricane force winds Wednesday night and Thursday morning.
5 PM TUESDAY UPDATE:
At 5pm, Humberto has winds to 100 mph, and is moving to the ENE at 12 mph. The storm is expected to pass to the north of Bermuda, but the island could still receive hurricane force winds. A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda.
11 AM TUESDAY UPDATE:
Humberto is expected to continue to moving over warm waters for the next few days, and models strengthen the hurricane a little more. The National Hurricane Center forecast now calls for the system to strengthen to a strong Cat 2 over the next 24 to 36 hours, not a Cat 3 like the precious forecast. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to be hostile, resulting in weakening.
We’ll continue to see higher surf and strong rip currents associated with Humberto for much of the rest of the week.
9 AM TUESDAY UPDATE:
Humberto is expected to continue to moving over warm waters for the next few days, and models strengthen the hurricane a little more. On this basis, the National Hurricane Center forecast calls for the system to become a major hurricane in about 24 to 36 hours. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to be hostile, resulting in weakening.
We’ll continue to see higher surf and strong rip currents associated with Humberto for much of the rest of the week.
5 AM TUESDAY UPDATE:
Hurricane Humberto will continue to move away from the Carolinas and is expected to continue to strengthen. Humberto could possible become a Cat 2 storm this morning and possibly a major, Cat 3 storm by Wednesday. Humberto will move over warmer waters and experience low shear over the next 24-36 hours. This is what will allow it to intensify. It will pass close to Bermuda Wednesday evening as a weak Cat 3/Strong Cat 2. After it passes Bermuda, it will move over cooler waters and experience higher shear which will weaken the storm as it picks up speed and moves further to the NE.
11 PM MONDAY UPDATE:
Hurricane Humberto will continue to move away from the Carolinas, and may impact Bermuda Wednesday night. The storm should strengthen tomorrow, and could be as strong as a category 3 hurricane. On Wednesday, the storm will start to move faster, and will likely start to weaken.
5 PM MONDAY UPDATE:
Hurricane Humberto is getting stronger, with winds at 5pm now up to 90 mph. The storm is moving to the ENE at 7mph, and will continue to move away from the Carolinas. A tropical storm watch has been issued for Bermuda, and the storm may bring impacts Wednesday night.
11 AM MONDAY UPDATE:
Not much has changed with Hurricane Humberto since the last update except it has picked up a little speed. It is now moving to the ENE at 7 mph. Humberto is still expected to reach Cat 2 strength by late this afternoon or this evening as it continues to pull away from the Carolinas. We could still see rough surf and strong rip currents through mid week.
6 AM MONDAY UPDATE:
Hurricane Humberto continues to slowly strengthen as it moves to the NE at 5 mph. Winds are currently at 85 mph and it could possibly become at Cat 2 storm by the end of the day today. It could pick up a little more speed today and into tomorrow as it passes close to Bermuda, as a Cat 2 storm. While this storm will be moving away from the Carolinas over the next few days, we will still see rough surf and strong rip currents for much of the week.
11 PM SUNDAY UPDATE
As expected, Humberto has strengthened into a hurricane. The storm will continue to slowly get stronger, and is expected to be a category 2 hurricane Tuesday and Wednesday as it approaches Bermuda.
Hurricane Humberto is now moving slowly to the northeast, and will pick up speed as it moves more to the east tomorrow and Tuesday. While this storm will be moving away from the Carolinas, we will still see rough surf and strong rip currents this week.
6 PM SUNDAY UPDATE
Tropical Storm Humberto has strengthened today and will likely become a hurricane tonight. Maximum winds are up to 70 mph. The storm is moving to the north at 6 mph, and will turn to the NE tonight, then east tomorrow. The storm will also pick up speed tomorrow and Tuesday, moving away from the United States. Bermuda may feel impacts from this storm Wednesday night.
Impacts in the Carolinas will be limited to rough surf and strong rip currents this week.
12 PM SUNDAY UPDATE
(AP) – Gusty winds from Tropical Storm Humberto are sweeping through portions of the northwestern Bahamas that were battered by Hurricane Dorian.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said Humberto is 165 miles (270 kilometers) east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida, and 180 miles (290 kilometers) north-northwest of Great Abaco island, which was decimated when Dorian barreled into the Bahamas earlier this month.
At 11 a.m. EDT, the storm was moving north at 7 mph (11 kph).
No coastal watches or warnings are in effect, although forecasters say Humberto will bring large swells to the northwestern Bahamas and southeastern U.S. coast for several days. The storm is expected to strengthen to a hurricane as it moves to the western Atlantic Ocean.
7 AM SUNDAY UPDATE
Humberto has not changed much overnight. The storm still has peak winds of 60 mph, and is still slowly moving away from the Bahamas. The forecast has the storm slowly moving northward today, then picking up speed tomorrow as it turns away from the United States. Humberto may impact Bermuda Wednesday night as a hurricane.
11 PM SATURDAY UPDATE
Maximum sustained winds at 11pm are up to 60 mph, and the storm is moving to the NNW at 6mph. The forecast for the system is unchanged with Humberto strengthening to a hurricane late tomorrow, then turning out to sea.
There are currently no watches or warnings for Tropical Storm Humberto. The storm may threaten Bermuda by Wednesday.
6 PM SATURDAY UPDATE
Tropical Storm Humberto is becoming more organized and gaining strength as it starts to move away from the Bahamas. The storm will continue to strengthen through tomorrow as it moves northward far off the Florida coast. Humberto is expected to become a hurricane Sunday night or Monday, but by then it will be turning to the northeast, and will sharply turn out to sea as it continues to strengthen. Humberto could be a threat to Bermuda by Wednesday.
Impacts on the Carolinas from Humberto are expected to be minimal. Surf will become rough tomorrow, and the threat for rip currents will increase at the beaches. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for Sunday. The rough surf and rip currents are expected through Wednesday.
2 PM SATURDAY UPDATE
(AP) – Weather forecasters say Tropical Storm Humberto will likely become a hurricane as it moves away from the Bahamas and the U.S. coast.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Saturday that Humberto is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday night, but it won’t threaten land by the time it intensifies to that strength.
However, swells generated by Humberto are expected to increase and affect the coasts of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina later this weekend and early next week. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
At 2 p.m. EDT, the hurricane center said the storm was located about 40 miles (65 kilometers) north of Great Abaco Island and 120 miles (190 kilometers) east-northeast of Freeport, Grand Bahama Island. The storm was moving 7 mph (11 kph) with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 kph).
11 AM SATURDAY UPDATE
Tropical Storm Humberto is expected to bring tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains to parts of the northwestern Bahamas Saturday. Serious storm surge, though, is not expected for the region. As of 11 a.m. Saturday, the storm is nearly stationary. Humberto is still expected to take a sharp turn out to sea Sunday night.
8 AM SATURDAY UPDATE:
Humberto is a weak, unorganized tropical storm located to the east of the Bahamas. The storm will impact the northern islands today with wind and rain… the same areas devastated by Hurricane Dorian. This storm will move away from the Bahamas tonight. Humberto is expected to strengthen heading into next week. It will move northward off the Florida east coast through Sunday, then take a sharp turn out to sea Sunday night. Humberto is expected to become a hurricane as it moves away from the Carolinas.
Impacts from Humberto will be minimal in the Carolinas. There will be a higher chance for showers along the coast Sunday and Monday. Plus, waves will be larger than normal, and there will be a higher risk for rip currents at the beaches next week.
11 PM FRIDAY UPDATE:
Tropical Storm Humberto has formed near the Bahamas. At 11pm, top sustained winds were 40 mph, and it is moving NW at 6 mph. Humberto is currently located 130 miles ESE of Great Abaco Island, which was devastated by Hurricane Dorian last weekend. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for the northwestern Bahama.
The storm is expected to impact the Bahamas through tomorrow, then turn north off the Florida coast. It is expected to be far enough off the Florida coast that the Tropical Storm Watch that had been in effect for parts of Florida’s east coast has been cancelled. Sunday night the storm is forecast to take a sharp turn to the east, and move away from the Carolina coast. It is forecast to become a hurricane as it moves away from the Carolinas.
Any impacts to the Carolinas look minimal. Rough surf and an increased risk for rip currents are possible early next week.
5 PM FRIDAY UPDATE:
The cluster of thunderstorms we have been monitoring for the past few days east of the Bahamas has been classified a tropical depression by the National Hurricane Center. Maximum winds are at 30 mph, and it is moving to the NW at 8 mph.
Tropical Depression #9 is expected to develop into t a tropical storm tomorrow. The current forecast has it staying offshore of Florida and the Southeast coast.
The system is still unorganized and confidence in the forecast is low.
2 PM FRIDAY UPDATE:
The latest update from the National Hurricane Center now takes Myrtle Beach out of the cone of uncertainty for potential tropical cyclone nine.
The NHC says the system is expected to become a tropical storm later Friday and Saturday, and is expected to bring tropical storm force winds to areas of the northwestern Bahamas. “Significant” storm surge isn’t expected in the northwest Bahamas.
The system could bring tropical storm force winds to the east coast of Florida over the weekend and residents are encouraged to monitor the system.
Heavy rain and “scattered flash flooding” is possible over the weekend in the coastal areas of eastern Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. Heavy rain could possibly reach eastern NC next week depending on the track of the storm.
The NHC adds that forecast uncertainty for this system “is generally larger than for tropical cyclones, especially beyond 48-72 hours.”
9AM FRIDAY UPDATE:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the
tropical disturbance is currently comprised of a trough elongated
from west-southwest to east-northeast. While the system has become a little better organized since the last advisory, it does not yet have a well-defined circulation center. Latest forecast models show this area becoming better organized and moving towards the east coast of Florida as a tropical storm and then a big curve east out to sea. Until there is a defined center of circulations, the models will have a hard time handling the intensity and track. We’ll continue to monitor the latest.
The area in the east Atlantic now has a 50% chance for tropical development over the next 5 days as it moves west towards the Lesser Antilles. This one also bares watching.
5 AM FRIDAY UPDATE: The area of thunderstorms over the Bahamas remains unorganized. The forecast is for the system to become a tropical depression or tropical storm later today and move toward Florida. Until a low pressure center forms with this system, there will be a high amount of uncertainty of where it is going to go. Latest from the National Hurricane Center takes this storm as a tropical storm near the east coast of Florida and then skirt the GA coast before curving back out to sea. If this plays out, increased tropical moisture could lead to better rain chances Sunday into Monday. Of course, this is not set in stone and we’ll continue to monitor the storm closely.
There is also two other tropical systems out in the Atlantic we are watching closely. The first has a 40% chance for tropical development over the next 5 days and behind it is a new wave that has a 20 % chance for tropical development. Both look to move west towards the Lesser Antilles and could develop into something we’ll have to watch down the line. As of right now, there are not direct threats to the Carolinas with any of these storms.
11 p.m. Thursday:
The area of thunderstorms over the Bahamas remains unorganized. The forecast is for the system to become a tropical depression or tropical storm tomorrow and move toward Florida. Until a low pressure center forms with this system, there will be a high amount of uncertainty of where it is going to go.
6 p.m. Thursday:
An area of thunderstorms near the Bahamas is becoming better organized and could become a tropical storm that could affect the southeast.
The forecast track for the system is uncertain now but the majority of scenarios agree the southeast coast could be affected. With winds at about 30 mph, the potential cyclone is expected to move across the Bahamas on Friday and over the east coast of Florida on Saturday.
At 5 p.m., the National Hurricane Center issued a tropical storm warning for several areas recently hit by Dorian. They include Abacos, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island and New Providence.
“Conditions are becoming favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form within the next day or so as the system moves toward the northwest through the northwestern Bahamas and toward the Florida Peninsula at 5 to 10 miles per hour,” the NHC reported/
Regardless of development, the system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the Bahamas through Friday and across Florida over the weekend, forecasters said.
The NHC is also monitoring a tropical wave just west of the Cabo Verde Islands, which is producing a “small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.”