MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WBTW) – The potential Tropical Cyclone Nine has crossed over the southern Leeward Islands and is now in the Caribbean Sea. The NOAA Hurricane Hunters have found a slightly better defined, but still broad, circulation.
As the system lacks a well-defined center, uncertainty still remains – both in the track and intensity long term.
While the disturbance is not organized into an area of low pressure, it is still producing tropical-storm-force winds of 45 mph. It is currently racing to the west-northwest at 23 mph as it is being steered by a strong ridge to the north of the system. Nine is still expected to become a tropical storm later Wednesday.
The storm continues a westward motion taking aim towards southern Florida by the weekend.
There is still a lot of uncertainty as far as long-range track and intensity. We’ll continue to monitor and bring you the latest forecast.
Potential Tropical Storm Nine continue to become better organized but still lack a well defined center of circulation.
The Bermuda High is currently strong and is steering Nine to the south. If the high remains strong through the end of the week then expect the track to remain a little further south than previous forecast models. A more southern track would steer Nine into some dryer air and into a little more shear.
Current forecast model show slow development and strengthening but staying a tropical storm. If the track moves further to the north, the storm could become stronger.
The current forecast track shows the storm heading towards south Florida this weekend.
MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WBTW) – Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine formed in the Atlantic on Tuesday and is forecast to become a tropical storm.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is an area of low pressure we’ve been watching for several days now. The National Hurricane Center started issuing advisories for it Tuesday morning.
The cyclone is expected to become Isaias by Wednesday morning as it tracks closer to the Leeward Islands. It is expected to continue to strengthen as it tracks over Puerto Rico. The track and strength of the soon-to-be storm become less certain as we head through the weekend and into next week.
While it is too soon to know if PTC Nine will impact the southeast coast, it is a system News13 is closely monitoring.
Beyond the five day projections, there is a lot of uncertainty over the strength and path of this system. As this system continues to strengthen and move more west, we will have a better idea of those factors.
Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
As of 11 a.m., the system is about 585 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.